ECONOMIST: FORECASTING REF NO: S051/2020

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ECONOMIST: FORECASTING REF NO: S051/2020

Division: Economic Policy (EP)

Purpose: Assist with the provision of quarterly forecasts of the South African economy over the MTEF period and maintain the National Treasury Quarterly Model (QMOD) for sound policy analysis and advice to stakeholders.

SALARY: R470 040 per annum (Excl. benefits)

CENTRE: Pretoria

REQUIREMENTS: A minimum Degree in Economics/ Mathematics/ Econometrics, A minimum of 3 years of relevant working experience obtained within an economic modeling environment.

DUTIES : Some key Outputs include: Quarterly Forecasts over the MTEF: Assist with the compilation of a pre-determined forecast model based on the performance of the South African economy, Draft forecasting explanatory memoranda to debrief stakeholders on the main aspects of the economic projection, Provide different simulations on forecasts on economic growth and tax-related models based on the revenue expectations for a specific financial year Maintain Economic Models: Assist with the updating of economic models, Assist with the development of new models in alignment with policy and related needs, Consult stakeholders on new initiatives on the maintenance of models Policy Analysis and Development: Provide theoretically sound and well researched reports and memos that link model outcomes to specific policy questions, Develop presentations and engage stakeholders, Inform internal and external stakeholders on new developments in impacting on the economic modelling world and illustrate their usage Stakeholder Engagement and Research: Engage clients on new developments pertaining to projection tools impact the SA economy, Initiate research and engage with international recognised institutions on latest trends pertaining to model development.

ENQUIRIES: Human Resources Management on Tel No: (012) 315 5100.

APPLICATIONS: may be sent via e-mail to Recruit.EP@treasury.gov.za

 

CLOSING DATE: 19 October 2020 at 12: 00 pm

NOTE: Applications should be accompanied by a comprehensive CV, fully completed Z83 (non-negotiable), and certified copies of qualifications and ID. Please forward your application in PDF format, quoting the relevant reference number and the name of the position on the subject line to the e-mail address mentioned below. No late applications will be accepted. Kindly note: applications that are not compliant with the above requests will not be considered (non-negotiable). The National Treasury no longer accepts hand-delivered or posted applications. Please note: All shortlisted candidates for SMS posts will be subjected to a technical exercise that intends to test relevant technical elements of the job, the logistics of which will be communicated by the Department. Qualifications and SA citizenship checks will be conducted on all short-listed candidates and, where applicable, additional checks will be conducted. It is the applicant’s responsibility to have foreign qualifications evaluated by the South African Qualifications Authority (SAQA). If you have not received feedback from the National Treasury within 3 months of the closing date, please regard your application as unsuccessful. Note: The National Treasury reserves the right not fill the below-mentioned posts.